Subprime auto ABS
Subprime Auto Watch: Biggest Auto ABS Movers (2026)
Find the largest delinquency increases and declines among auto ABS deals with disclosed subprime FICO buckets. The watchlist also includes separately labeled high-delinquency proxies. Compare issuers and vintages, then open a deal's chart to check the reported figures.Latest disclosure date in this tracker: 2026-10-29. These are mixed reporting periods, not a synchronized snapshot of every pool today. Latest-window coverage (2026-09-29 onward) includes 82 rows: 60 rising, 19 falling, 3 flat. Explicit FICO-supported subprime/deep-subprime rows: 130; high-delinquency proxy rows: 20.Watch-universe rows150
Avg current delinquency21.1%
Explicit subprime/FICO rows130
Deep-subprime rows127
Worst current dealCRVNA 2021-N2 (48.7%)
Top 10 deteriorating deals
Subprime auto ABS rows with the largest delinquency-rate increases
10 rows ranked by basis-point increase| Deal | Issuer | FICO evidence | Previous | Current | Move | Why included | Disclosure date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EART 2026-4 | EART | Deep-subprime (39.9%) | 2.44% | 6.06% | +362 bps | FICO chart reports 39.9% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-10-29 | Open |
| BLAST 2026-3 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (56.2%) | 6.69% | 9.36% | +267 bps | FICO chart reports 56.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-10-15 | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-1 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (45.4%) | 23.9% | 26.4% | +250 bps | FICO chart reports 45.4% deep-subprime concentration | 2025-05-15 | Open |
| AMCAR 2021-2 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (46.9%) | 21.5% | 23.9% | +248 bps | FICO chart reports 46.9% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-01-23 | Open |
| DRIVE 2017-2 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (53.5%) | 19.2% | 21.5% | +231 bps | FICO chart reports 53.5% deep-subprime concentration | 2021-12-15 | Open |
| DRIVE 2017-1 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (56.2%) | 17.9% | 20.0% | +212 bps | FICO chart reports 56.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2021-10-15 | Open |
| SDART 2021-1 | SDART | Deep-subprime (33.8%) | 25.8% | 27.6% | +173 bps | FICO chart reports 33.8% deep-subprime concentration | 2025-12-15 | Open |
| DRIVE 2018-1 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (53.7%) | 17.8% | 19.5% | +170 bps | FICO chart reports 53.7% deep-subprime concentration | 2022-05-16 | Open |
| AMCAR 2022-2 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (41.6%) | 21.3% | 22.9% | +166 bps | FICO chart reports 41.6% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-10-23 | Open |
| AMCAR 2021-3 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (43.1%) | 19.0% | 20.6% | +158 bps | FICO chart reports 43.1% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-23 | Open |
Top 10 improving deals
Subprime auto ABS rows with the largest delinquency-rate declines
10 rows ranked by basis-point decline| Deal | Issuer | FICO evidence | Previous | Current | Move | Why included | Disclosure date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDART 2019-1 | SDART | Deep-subprime (30.8%) | 15.0% | 12.1% | -293 bps | FICO chart reports 30.8% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-04-17 | Open |
| DRIVE 2018-5 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (51.6%) | 24.7% | 22.5% | -226 bps | FICO chart reports 51.6% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-02-15 | Open |
| EART 2021-3 | EART | Deep-subprime (53.7%) | 36.7% | 34.5% | -217 bps | FICO chart reports 53.7% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-03-31 | Open |
| AMCAR 2018-2 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (47.4%) | 16.3% | 14.3% | -190 bps | FICO chart reports 47.4% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-03-20 | Open |
| AMCAR 2017-3 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (51.0%) | 17.0% | 15.2% | -178 bps | FICO chart reports 51.0% deep-subprime concentration | 2022-03-23 | Open |
| BLAST 2024-1 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (63.2%) | 29.0% | 28.0% | -95 bps | FICO chart reports 63.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-10-15 | Open |
| EART 2023-5 | EART | Deep-subprime (37.5%) | 25.0% | 24.2% | -78 bps | FICO chart reports 37.5% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-10-29 | Open |
| BLAST 2024-4 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (62.2%) | 24.6% | 23.8% | -77 bps | FICO chart reports 62.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-10-15 | Open |
| BLAST 2025-1 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (63.0%) | 22.9% | 22.1% | -75 bps | FICO chart reports 63.0% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-10-15 | Open |
| EART 2023-3 | EART | Deep-subprime (38.4%) | 25.9% | 25.1% | -73 bps | FICO chart reports 38.4% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-10-29 | Open |
Deep subprime spotlight
Highest current delinquency rows with deep-subprime FICO evidence
10 rows shown from 127 deep-subprime disclosure rows| Deal | Issuer | Deep-subprime FICO | Current delinquency | Move | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRVNA 2021-N2 | CRVNA | 58.7% | 48.7% | +49 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N1 | CRVNA | 58.4% | 46.6% | +130 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N3 | CRVNA | 50.8% | 41.4% | +116 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-2 | EART | 57.5% | 39.3% | -68 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N4 | CRVNA | 49.6% | 37.6% | +146 bps | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-3 | DRIVE | 50.3% | 37.2% | +23 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-1 | EART | 56.7% | 36.6% | +91 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-3 | EART | 53.7% | 34.5% | -217 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-4 | EART | 50.0% | 33.3% | +88 bps | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-2 | DRIVE | 46.9% | 32.5% | +111 bps | Open |
Issuer heatmap
Subprime auto watch rows by issuer shelf
10 issuer rows ranked by mapped watch-universe coverage| Issuer / shelf | Rows | Avg delinquency | Avg move | Rising / falling / flat | Highest current deal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDART | 42 | 21.2% | +56 bps | 39 / 3 / 0 | SDART 2022-4 (28.0%) |
| EART | 30 | 24.9% | +8 bps | 13 / 14 / 3 | EART 2021-2 (39.3%) |
| DRIVE | 21 | 23.9% | +78 bps | 18 / 3 / 0 | DRIVE 2021-3 (37.2%) |
| AMCAR | 21 | 17.6% | +77 bps | 17 / 4 / 0 | AMCAR 2021-2 (23.9%) |
| BLAST | 12 | 20.5% | -11 bps | 5 / 7 / 0 | BLAST 2024-1 (28.0%) |
| CRVNA | 7 | 29.8% | +90 bps | 7 / 0 / 0 | CRVNA 2021-N2 (48.7%) |
| CARMX | 6 | 11.3% | +34 bps | 5 / 1 / 0 | CARMX 2021-3 (12.4%) |
| WOSAT | 5 | 12.7% | +38 bps | 4 / 1 / 0 | WOSAT 2021-A (14.9%) |
| CMXS | 4 | 14.2% | +30 bps | 4 / 0 / 0 | CMXS 2024-A (20.4%) |
| ESART | 2 | 11.0% | +33 bps | 2 / 0 / 0 | ESART 2025-1 (11.4%) |
Historical context
Subprime auto watch rows by vintage
Vintage context uses current DealCharts rows grouped by issuance vintage, not a long-run external index.| Vintage | Rows | Avg delinquency | Avg move | Rising / falling / flat | Highest current deal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 12.2% | +105 bps | 9 / 0 / 0 | EART 2026-2 (15.6%) |
| 2025 | 19 | 17.9% | +31 bps | 15 / 4 / 0 | DRIVE 2025-1 (24.1%) |
| 2024 | 19 | 22.9% | +11 bps | 11 / 8 / 0 | BLAST 2024-1 (28.0%) |
| 2023 | 16 | 22.6% | +26 bps | 11 / 4 / 1 | EART 2023-2 (26.7%) |
| 2022 | 18 | 24.8% | +48 bps | 12 / 4 / 2 | EART 2022-2 (32.3%) |
| 2021 | 24 | 27.2% | +78 bps | 21 / 3 / 0 | CRVNA 2021-N2 (48.7%) |
| 2020 | 11 | 20.3% | +64 bps | 9 / 2 / 0 | EART 2020-3 (32.5%) |
| 2019 | 11 | 18.4% | +19 bps | 8 / 3 / 0 | DRIVE 2019-4 (25.1%) |
| 2018 | 13 | 18.5% | +20 bps | 9 / 4 / 0 | DRIVE 2018-2 (23.8%) |
| 2017 | 10 | 16.2% | +83 bps | 9 / 1 / 0 | DRIVE 2017-2 (21.5%) |
Methodology
How Subprime Auto Watch is built
- Start with Auto ABS delinquency chart rows generated from SEC-filed servicer reports.
- Parse the chart sentence for previous and current delinquency percentages.
- Join FICO distribution chart rows and keep explicit Subprime or Deep-subprime FICO disclosures.
- Add high-delinquency proxy rows above 10% current delinquency when FICO labels are not explicit.
- Rank deterioration, improvement, deep-subprime spotlight rows, issuer heatmap rows, and vintage context from the same parsed data.
Boundary
FICO-supported watchlist, not a legal classification
Subprime Auto Watch uses disclosed FICO buckets where DealCharts has them and clearly labels high-delinquency proxy rows. It does not infer legal, rating-agency, or shelf marketing classifications when the public chart index does not support them.
FAQ