Subprime auto ABS
Subprime Auto Watch: Biggest Auto ABS Movers (2026)
A source-backed subprime auto ABS watchlist for subprime auto delinquency rates, deep subprime auto loans, subprime auto loan default signals, biggest deterioration, improving deals, issuer shelves, vintage context, and direct chart links.Latest disclosure date in this tracker: 2026-07-01. Latest-window coverage (2026-06-01 onward) includes 78 rows: 78 rising, 0 falling, 0 flat. Explicit FICO-supported subprime/deep-subprime rows: 127; high-delinquency proxy rows: 13.Watch-universe rows140
Avg current delinquency20.8%
Explicit subprime/FICO rows127
Deep-subprime rows124
Worst current dealCRVNA 2021-N2 (43.7%)
Top 10 deteriorating deals
Subprime auto ABS rows with the largest delinquency-rate increases
10 rows ranked by basis-point increase| Deal | Issuer | FICO evidence | Previous | Current | Move | Why included | Disclosure date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EART 2026-2 | EART | Deep-subprime (44.2%) | 5.06% | 9.05% | +399 bps | FICO chart reports 44.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-30 | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N2 | CRVNA | Deep-subprime (55.8%) | 40.2% | 43.7% | +353 bps | FICO chart reports 55.8% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-15 | Open |
| BLAST 2026-2 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (56.2%) | 1.02% | 4.54% | +352 bps | FICO chart reports 56.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-15 | Open |
| BLAST 2025-3 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (64.2%) | 13.0% | 16.4% | +335 bps | FICO chart reports 64.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-15 | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N1 | CRVNA | Deep-subprime (56.9%) | 40.5% | 43.7% | +321 bps | FICO chart reports 56.9% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-15 | Open |
| BLAST 2026-1 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (53.2%) | 7.18% | 10.0% | +284 bps | FICO chart reports 53.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-15 | Open |
| BLAST 2025-1 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (63.0%) | 17.6% | 20.4% | +281 bps | FICO chart reports 63.0% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-15 | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N3 | CRVNA | Deep-subprime (49.8%) | 32.9% | 35.7% | +280 bps | FICO chart reports 49.8% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-15 | Open |
| BLAST 2024-2 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (62.9%) | 22.8% | 25.5% | +264 bps | FICO chart reports 62.9% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-06-15 | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-1 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (45.4%) | 23.9% | 26.4% | +250 bps | FICO chart reports 45.4% deep-subprime concentration | 2025-05-15 | Open |
Top 10 improving deals
Subprime auto ABS rows with the largest delinquency-rate declines
10 rows ranked by basis-point decline| Deal | Issuer | FICO evidence | Previous | Current | Move | Why included | Disclosure date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDART 2019-1 | SDART | Deep-subprime (30.8%) | 15.0% | 12.1% | -293 bps | FICO chart reports 30.8% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-04-17 | Open |
| DRIVE 2018-5 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (51.6%) | 24.7% | 22.5% | -226 bps | FICO chart reports 51.6% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-02-15 | Open |
| EART 2021-3 | EART | Deep-subprime (53.7%) | 36.7% | 34.5% | -217 bps | FICO chart reports 53.7% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-03-31 | Open |
| AMCAR 2018-2 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (47.4%) | 16.3% | 14.3% | -190 bps | FICO chart reports 47.4% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-03-20 | Open |
| AMCAR 2017-3 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (51.0%) | 17.0% | 15.2% | -178 bps | FICO chart reports 51.0% deep-subprime concentration | 2022-03-23 | Open |
| DRIVE 2019-1 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (48.6%) | 21.2% | 20.5% | -73 bps | FICO chart reports 48.6% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-03-15 | Open |
| EART 2021-2 | EART | Deep-subprime (57.5%) | 40.0% | 39.3% | -68 bps | FICO chart reports 57.5% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-03-03 | Open |
| AMCAR 2021-1 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (43.3%) | 16.1% | 15.7% | -48 bps | FICO chart reports 43.3% deep-subprime concentration | 2025-06-23 | Open |
| CARMX 2022-1 | CARMX | Super-prime (31.0%) | 11.5% | 11.1% | -38 bps | High-delinquency proxy row above 10% | 2026-03-16 | Open |
| SDART 2020-3 | SDART | Deep-subprime (35.1%) | 20.0% | 19.7% | -27 bps | FICO chart reports 35.1% deep-subprime concentration | 2024-11-15 | Open |
Deep subprime spotlight
Highest current delinquency rows with deep-subprime FICO evidence
10 rows shown from 124 deep-subprime disclosure rows| Deal | Issuer | Deep-subprime FICO | Current delinquency | Move | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRVNA 2021-N2 | CRVNA | 55.8% | 43.7% | +353 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N1 | CRVNA | 56.9% | 43.7% | +321 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-2 | EART | 57.5% | 39.3% | -68 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-1 | EART | 56.7% | 36.6% | +91 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N3 | CRVNA | 49.8% | 35.7% | +280 bps | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-3 | DRIVE | 49.4% | 35.5% | +54 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-3 | EART | 53.7% | 34.5% | -217 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-4 | EART | 50.0% | 33.3% | +88 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N4 | CRVNA | 48.6% | 33.1% | +73 bps | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-2 | DRIVE | 46.9% | 32.5% | +111 bps | Open |
Issuer heatmap
Subprime auto watch rows by issuer shelf
10 issuer rows ranked by mapped watch-universe coverage| Issuer / shelf | Rows | Avg delinquency | Avg move | Rising / falling / flat | Highest current deal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDART | 42 | 20.3% | +74 bps | 39 / 3 / 0 | SDART 2021-4 (27.6%) |
| EART | 28 | 24.6% | +121 bps | 26 / 2 / 0 | EART 2021-2 (39.3%) |
| AMCAR | 21 | 16.9% | +72 bps | 17 / 4 / 0 | AMCAR 2021-2 (23.9%) |
| DRIVE | 19 | 23.9% | +79 bps | 16 / 3 / 0 | DRIVE 2021-3 (35.5%) |
| BLAST | 11 | 18.4% | +252 bps | 11 / 0 / 0 | BLAST 2024-1 (26.2%) |
| CRVNA | 5 | 33.3% | +226 bps | 5 / 0 / 0 | CRVNA 2021-N2 (43.7%) |
| WOSAT | 5 | 12.2% | +38 bps | 4 / 1 / 0 | WOSAT 2021-A (14.9%) |
| CARMX | 5 | 11.3% | +42 bps | 4 / 1 / 0 | CARMX 2021-3 (12.4%) |
| DRIVE AUTO RECEIVABLES TRUST | 2 | 18.9% | +131 bps | 2 / 0 / 0 | DRIVE AUTO RECEIVABLES TRUST 2025-1 (20.6%) |
| CMXS | 2 | 16.1% | +149 bps | 2 / 0 / 0 | CMXS 2024-A (19.1%) |
Historical context
Subprime auto watch rows by vintage
Vintage context uses current DealCharts rows grouped by issuance vintage, not a long-run external index.| Vintage | Rows | Avg delinquency | Avg move | Rising / falling / flat | Highest current deal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 9.00% | +299 bps | 5 / 0 / 0 | EART 2026-1 (11.6%) |
| 2025 | 16 | 16.5% | +164 bps | 16 / 0 / 0 | DRIVE AUTO RECEIVABLES TRUST 2025-1 (20.6%) |
| 2024 | 19 | 21.3% | +133 bps | 19 / 0 / 0 | BLAST 2024-1 (26.2%) |
| 2023 | 15 | 22.3% | +118 bps | 15 / 0 / 0 | EART 2023-2 (26.1%) |
| 2022 | 18 | 23.5% | +85 bps | 17 / 1 / 0 | EART 2022-1 (30.6%) |
| 2021 | 22 | 27.7% | +110 bps | 19 / 3 / 0 | CRVNA 2021-N2 (43.7%) |
| 2020 | 11 | 20.3% | +64 bps | 9 / 2 / 0 | EART 2020-3 (32.5%) |
| 2019 | 11 | 18.4% | +19 bps | 8 / 3 / 0 | DRIVE 2019-4 (25.1%) |
| 2018 | 13 | 18.5% | +20 bps | 9 / 4 / 0 | DRIVE 2018-2 (23.8%) |
| 2017 | 10 | 16.2% | +83 bps | 9 / 1 / 0 | DRIVE 2017-2 (21.5%) |
Methodology
How Subprime Auto Watch is built
- Start with Auto ABS delinquency chart rows generated from SEC-filed servicer reports.
- Parse the chart sentence for previous and current delinquency percentages.
- Join FICO distribution chart rows and keep explicit Subprime or Deep-subprime FICO disclosures.
- Add high-delinquency proxy rows above 10% current delinquency when FICO labels are not explicit.
- Rank deterioration, improvement, deep-subprime spotlight rows, issuer heatmap rows, and vintage context from the same parsed data.
Boundary
FICO-supported watchlist, not a legal classification
Subprime Auto Watch uses disclosed FICO buckets where DealCharts has them and clearly labels high-delinquency proxy rows. It does not infer legal, rating-agency, or shelf marketing classifications when the public chart index does not support them.
FAQ