Subprime auto ABS
Subprime Auto Watch: Biggest Auto ABS Movers (2026)
A source-backed subprime auto ABS watchlist for subprime auto delinquency rates, deep subprime auto loans, subprime auto loan default signals, biggest deterioration, improving deals, issuer shelves, vintage context, and direct chart links.Latest disclosure date in this tracker: 2026-08-12. Latest-window coverage (2026-07-13 onward) includes 77 rows: 76 rising, 1 falling, 0 flat. Explicit FICO-supported subprime/deep-subprime rows: 128; high-delinquency proxy rows: 14.Watch-universe rows142
Avg current delinquency21.0%
Explicit subprime/FICO rows128
Deep-subprime rows125
Worst current dealCRVNA 2021-N1 (45.3%)
Top 10 deteriorating deals
Subprime auto ABS rows with the largest delinquency-rate increases
10 rows ranked by basis-point increase| Deal | Issuer | FICO evidence | Previous | Current | Move | Why included | Disclosure date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EART 2026-3 | EART | Deep-subprime (42.1%) | 0.00% | 3.25% | +325 bps | FICO chart reports 42.1% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-07-30 | Open |
| BLAST 2026-2 | BLAST | Deep-subprime (56.3%) | 4.54% | 7.67% | +313 bps | FICO chart reports 56.3% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-07-15 | Open |
| EART 2026-2 | EART | Deep-subprime (44.4%) | 9.05% | 11.9% | +284 bps | FICO chart reports 44.4% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-07-30 | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-1 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (45.4%) | 23.9% | 26.4% | +250 bps | FICO chart reports 45.4% deep-subprime concentration | 2025-05-15 | Open |
| AMCAR 2021-2 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (46.9%) | 21.5% | 23.9% | +248 bps | FICO chart reports 46.9% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-01-23 | Open |
| DRIVE 2017-2 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (53.5%) | 19.2% | 21.5% | +231 bps | FICO chart reports 53.5% deep-subprime concentration | 2021-12-15 | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N3 | CRVNA | Deep-subprime (50.2%) | 35.7% | 37.9% | +227 bps | FICO chart reports 50.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-07-15 | Open |
| SDART 2026-1 | SDART | Deep-subprime (32.7%) | 9.75% | 11.9% | +218 bps | FICO chart reports 32.7% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-07-15 | Open |
| DRIVE 2017-1 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (56.2%) | 17.9% | 20.0% | +212 bps | FICO chart reports 56.2% deep-subprime concentration | 2021-10-15 | Open |
| SDART 2021-1 | SDART | Deep-subprime (33.8%) | 25.8% | 27.6% | +173 bps | FICO chart reports 33.8% deep-subprime concentration | 2025-12-15 | Open |
Top 10 improving deals
Subprime auto ABS rows with the largest delinquency-rate declines
10 rows ranked by basis-point decline| Deal | Issuer | FICO evidence | Previous | Current | Move | Why included | Disclosure date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDART 2019-1 | SDART | Deep-subprime (30.8%) | 15.0% | 12.1% | -293 bps | FICO chart reports 30.8% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-04-17 | Open |
| DRIVE 2018-5 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (51.6%) | 24.7% | 22.5% | -226 bps | FICO chart reports 51.6% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-02-15 | Open |
| EART 2021-3 | EART | Deep-subprime (53.7%) | 36.7% | 34.5% | -217 bps | FICO chart reports 53.7% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-03-31 | Open |
| AMCAR 2018-2 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (47.4%) | 16.3% | 14.3% | -190 bps | FICO chart reports 47.4% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-03-20 | Open |
| AMCAR 2017-3 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (51.0%) | 17.0% | 15.2% | -178 bps | FICO chart reports 51.0% deep-subprime concentration | 2022-03-23 | Open |
| DRIVE 2019-1 | DRIVE | Deep-subprime (48.6%) | 21.2% | 20.5% | -73 bps | FICO chart reports 48.6% deep-subprime concentration | 2023-03-15 | Open |
| EART 2021-2 | EART | Deep-subprime (57.5%) | 40.0% | 39.3% | -68 bps | FICO chart reports 57.5% deep-subprime concentration | 2026-03-03 | Open |
| AMCAR 2021-1 | AMCAR | Deep-subprime (43.3%) | 16.1% | 15.7% | -48 bps | FICO chart reports 43.3% deep-subprime concentration | 2025-06-23 | Open |
| CARMX 2022-1 | CARMX | Super-prime (31.0%) | 11.5% | 11.1% | -38 bps | High-delinquency proxy row above 10% | 2026-03-16 | Open |
| SDART 2020-3 | SDART | Deep-subprime (35.1%) | 20.0% | 19.7% | -27 bps | FICO chart reports 35.1% deep-subprime concentration | 2024-11-15 | Open |
Deep subprime spotlight
Highest current delinquency rows with deep-subprime FICO evidence
10 rows shown from 125 deep-subprime disclosure rows| Deal | Issuer | Deep-subprime FICO | Current delinquency | Move | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRVNA 2021-N1 | CRVNA | 57.6% | 45.3% | +164 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N2 | CRVNA | 56.3% | 43.6% | -13 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-2 | EART | 57.5% | 39.3% | -68 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N3 | CRVNA | 50.2% | 37.9% | +227 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-1 | EART | 56.7% | 36.6% | +91 bps | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-3 | DRIVE | 49.6% | 35.8% | +31 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-3 | EART | 53.7% | 34.5% | -217 bps | Open |
| CRVNA 2021-N4 | CRVNA | 48.7% | 34.5% | +137 bps | Open |
| EART 2021-4 | EART | 50.0% | 33.3% | +88 bps | Open |
| DRIVE 2021-2 | DRIVE | 46.9% | 32.5% | +111 bps | Open |
Issuer heatmap
Subprime auto watch rows by issuer shelf
10 issuer rows ranked by mapped watch-universe coverage| Issuer / shelf | Rows | Avg delinquency | Avg move | Rising / falling / flat | Highest current deal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDART | 42 | 20.7% | +68 bps | 39 / 3 / 0 | SDART 2021-4 (27.6%) |
| EART | 29 | 24.7% | +92 bps | 27 / 2 / 0 | EART 2021-2 (39.3%) |
| DRIVE | 21 | 23.6% | +82 bps | 18 / 3 / 0 | DRIVE 2021-3 (35.8%) |
| AMCAR | 21 | 17.1% | +61 bps | 17 / 4 / 0 | AMCAR 2021-2 (23.9%) |
| BLAST | 11 | 19.2% | +81 bps | 11 / 0 / 0 | BLAST 2024-1 (26.6%) |
| CRVNA | 5 | 34.4% | +113 bps | 4 / 1 / 0 | CRVNA 2021-N1 (45.3%) |
| WOSAT | 5 | 12.4% | +28 bps | 4 / 1 / 0 | WOSAT 2021-A (14.9%) |
| CARMX | 5 | 11.3% | +25 bps | 4 / 1 / 0 | CARMX 2021-3 (12.4%) |
| CMXS | 2 | 16.4% | +25 bps | 2 / 0 / 0 | CMXS 2024-A (19.4%) |
| ESART | 1 | 10.6% | +110 bps | 1 / 0 / 0 | ESART 2025-1 (10.6%) |
Historical context
Subprime auto watch rows by vintage
Vintage context uses current DealCharts rows grouped by issuance vintage, not a long-run external index.| Vintage | Rows | Avg delinquency | Avg move | Rising / falling / flat | Highest current deal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 9.75% | +226 bps | 6 / 0 / 0 | EART 2026-1 (13.0%) |
| 2025 | 17 | 17.1% | +98 bps | 17 / 0 / 0 | DRIVE 2025-1 (22.1%) |
| 2024 | 19 | 22.0% | +69 bps | 19 / 0 / 0 | BLAST 2024-1 (26.6%) |
| 2023 | 15 | 22.9% | +62 bps | 15 / 0 / 0 | EART 2023-2 (26.9%) |
| 2022 | 18 | 24.1% | +74 bps | 17 / 1 / 0 | EART 2022-1 (31.3%) |
| 2021 | 22 | 27.9% | +83 bps | 18 / 4 / 0 | CRVNA 2021-N1 (45.3%) |
| 2020 | 11 | 20.3% | +64 bps | 9 / 2 / 0 | EART 2020-3 (32.5%) |
| 2019 | 11 | 18.4% | +19 bps | 8 / 3 / 0 | DRIVE 2019-4 (25.1%) |
| 2018 | 13 | 18.5% | +20 bps | 9 / 4 / 0 | DRIVE 2018-2 (23.8%) |
| 2017 | 10 | 16.2% | +83 bps | 9 / 1 / 0 | DRIVE 2017-2 (21.5%) |
Methodology
How Subprime Auto Watch is built
- Start with Auto ABS delinquency chart rows generated from SEC-filed servicer reports.
- Parse the chart sentence for previous and current delinquency percentages.
- Join FICO distribution chart rows and keep explicit Subprime or Deep-subprime FICO disclosures.
- Add high-delinquency proxy rows above 10% current delinquency when FICO labels are not explicit.
- Rank deterioration, improvement, deep-subprime spotlight rows, issuer heatmap rows, and vintage context from the same parsed data.
Boundary
FICO-supported watchlist, not a legal classification
Subprime Auto Watch uses disclosed FICO buckets where DealCharts has them and clearly labels high-delinquency proxy rows. It does not infer legal, rating-agency, or shelf marketing classifications when the public chart index does not support them.
FAQ